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It is intended to say "Given your success rates, big plays, field position components, turnovers, etc., you could have expected to win this game X% of the time." It has nothing to do with pre-game projections or opponent adjustments.So essentially, if you take the weekly advanced box score numbers and ran them through a simulation 10,000 times, how often would Ohio State be expected to win that game?Ohio State is 4-0 when Bates-Diop has a double-double ... But in two games against high major opponents, Butler is 0-2 with losses to Maryland and Texas by an average of 13.5 points ...Ohio State has been among the best rebounding teams in the country through six games. 36 in the country in offensive rebounding percentage (36.3), and No. The Bulldogs are coming off a 71-69 win over Portland State on Friday.Emotions are tough to predict, and they'll be high on both sides.

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They’re also 3rd in adjusted line yards, 4th in opportunity rate, and 10th in stuff rate.

The Bulldogs (31.2 percent) have also been a point 3-point shooting team this year, while its opponents are shooting 44.1 percent from deep in the early going ... 326 in the country, and the lowest of any of Ohio State's opponents so far ... Butler * An NCAA Tournament reminder, Holtmann's thoughts on playing Butler PREDICTION Bill's pick: Ohio State 73, Butler 71.

Sophomore guard Kamar Baldwin has a steal percentage of 4.8 percent, which is good for No. Butler as a team has a steal percentage of 10.2, which is No. Butler on paper is probably a little better, but Holtmann and his staff have intimate knowledge of every player on that roster. With a day off on Saturday to prepare, I suspect the Buckeyes will have a strong game plan for the Bulldogs.

The reason is that there’s a pretty steep drop-off between Alabama and Penn State in the S&P .

The S&P points margin — which is how much a team would be favored by or underdogs to the theoretical average football team in the country (those teams are Duke, Western Kentucky, and Kentucky, by the way) — has Ohio State at 29.6, Alabama at 27.3, and then Penn State at 22.4.

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